Frost dates for 94915San Rafael, CA
The average last spring frost in San Rafael is January 11 and the average first fall frost is December 21, giving a typical growing season of about 349 days. Dates are based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals.
- Average last spring frost
- Jan 11
- Average first fall frost
- Dec 21
- Growing season
- 349 days
Safer after Feb 25 (1-in-10 risk)
Possible by Dec 2 (1-in-10 risk)
First frost typically in 55 days
Frost risk by date
NOAA reports frost dates as probabilities. The middle date is the average (a 50% chance). For spring, the 10% date is a safer planting date: frost after it happens in about 1 year in 10. Light frost (36°F) can damage tender plants; a hard freeze (28°F) kills most annuals.
| Temperature | Last spring: 90% / 50% / 10% chance | First fall: 10% / 50% / 90% chance | Growing season (50%) | Years with at least one |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light frost (36°F) | Jan 6 · Feb 22 · Apr 6 | Nov 15 · Dec 5 · Jan 1 | 287 days | 99% |
| Frost / freeze (32°F) | Dec 14 · Jan 11 · Feb 25 | Dec 2 · Dec 21 · Feb 9 | 349 days | 70% |
| Hard freeze (28°F) | Dec 11 · Dec 31 · Feb 21 | Dec 7 · Dec 29 · Feb 18 | 365 days | 21% |
Where these dates come from
ZIP code 94915 is matched to the NOAA station San Rafael Civic Ctr, CA, 8.6 km away, at 120 ft elevation (152 ft lower than the ZIP code's center). Nearby stations for comparison:
| Station | Elevation | Avg last frost | Avg first frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Rafael Civic Ctr, CA (used) | 120 ft | Jan 11 | Dec 21 |
| Kentfield, CA | 145 ft | Jan 16 | Dec 18 |
| Petaluma Ap, CA | 20 ft | Feb 28 | Nov 25 |
| Richmond, CA | 20 ft | Jan 4 | Jan 2 |
Frost dates near San Rafael
- Novato, CA 94949 · last Jan 11, first Dec 21
- San Rafael, CA 94903 · last Jan 11, first Dec 21
- Fairfax, CA 94930 · last Jan 11, first Dec 21
- San Anselmo, CA 94960 · last Jan 11, first Dec 21
- Woodacre, CA 94973 · last Jan 16, first Dec 18
- San Geronimo, CA 94963 · last Jan 16, first Dec 18
- Nicasio, CA 94946 · last Jan 11, first Dec 21
- Ross, CA 94957 · last Jan 16, first Dec 18
Frequently asked questions
- When is the last frost in San Rafael, CA?
- For ZIP code 94915, the average last spring frost (32°F) is January 11, based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals for the San Rafael Civic Ctr, CA weather station. There is a 1-in-10 chance of a frost after February 25.
- When is the first frost in San Rafael, CA?
- The average first fall frost (32°F) is December 21. There is a 1-in-10 chance of frost by December 2, so tender plants are at risk from that point on.
- How long is the growing season in 94915?
- In half of years, the frost-free season (between the last and first 32°F frost) is at least 349 days long.
- Are these frost dates a forecast?
- No. They are 30-year averages and probabilities from NOAA weather station records. Use them to plan, then watch your local forecast before planting tender crops or leaving them uncovered.