FrostDateByZip

Frost dates for 85641Vail, AZ

The average last spring frost in Vail is January 26 and the average first fall frost is December 16, giving a typical growing season of about 326 days. Dates are based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals.

Average last spring frost
Jan 26

Safer after Feb 25 (1-in-10 risk)

Average first fall frost
Dec 16

Possible by Nov 26 (1-in-10 risk)

Growing season
326 days

First frost typically in 50 days

Frost risk by date

NOAA reports frost dates as probabilities. The middle date is the average (a 50% chance). For spring, the 10% date is a safer planting date: frost after it happens in about 1 year in 10. Light frost (36°F) can damage tender plants; a hard freeze (28°F) kills most annuals.

Spring dates: chance of a frost AFTER the date. Fall dates: chance of a frost BEFORE the date.
TemperatureLast spring: 90% / 50% / 10% chanceFirst fall: 10% / 50% / 90% chanceGrowing season (50%)Years with at least one
Light frost (36°F)Jan 22 · Feb 22 · Mar 18Nov 16 · Dec 2 · Dec 18282 days100%
Frost / freeze (32°F)Dec 24 · Jan 26 · Feb 25Nov 26 · Dec 16 · Jan 17326 days93%
Hard freeze (28°F)Dec 14 · Jan 7 · Feb 9Dec 9 · Dec 28 · Feb 3363 days55%

Where these dates come from

ZIP code 85641 is matched to the NOAA station Saguaro Np, AZ, 19.9 km away, at 3,080 ft elevation (322 ft lower than the ZIP code's center). Nearby stations for comparison:

StationElevationAvg last frostAvg first frost
Saguaro Np, AZ (used)3,080 ftJan 26Dec 16
Tucson Intl Ap, AZ2,549 ftFeb 5Dec 9
Santa Rita Exp Range, AZ4,300 ftFeb 25Dec 5
Green Valley, AZ2,900 ftFeb 25Nov 27

Frost dates near Vail

Frequently asked questions

When is the last frost in Vail, AZ?
For ZIP code 85641, the average last spring frost (32°F) is January 26, based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals for the Saguaro Np, AZ weather station. There is a 1-in-10 chance of a frost after February 25.
When is the first frost in Vail, AZ?
The average first fall frost (32°F) is December 16. There is a 1-in-10 chance of frost by November 26, so tender plants are at risk from that point on.
How long is the growing season in 85641?
In half of years, the frost-free season (between the last and first 32°F frost) is at least 326 days long.
Are these frost dates a forecast?
No. They are 30-year averages and probabilities from NOAA weather station records. Use them to plan, then watch your local forecast before planting tender crops or leaving them uncovered.