Frost dates for 85641Vail, AZ
The average last spring frost in Vail is January 26 and the average first fall frost is December 16, giving a typical growing season of about 326 days. Dates are based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals.
- Average last spring frost
- Jan 26
- Average first fall frost
- Dec 16
- Growing season
- 326 days
Safer after Feb 25 (1-in-10 risk)
Possible by Nov 26 (1-in-10 risk)
First frost typically in 50 days
Frost risk by date
NOAA reports frost dates as probabilities. The middle date is the average (a 50% chance). For spring, the 10% date is a safer planting date: frost after it happens in about 1 year in 10. Light frost (36°F) can damage tender plants; a hard freeze (28°F) kills most annuals.
| Temperature | Last spring: 90% / 50% / 10% chance | First fall: 10% / 50% / 90% chance | Growing season (50%) | Years with at least one |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light frost (36°F) | Jan 22 · Feb 22 · Mar 18 | Nov 16 · Dec 2 · Dec 18 | 282 days | 100% |
| Frost / freeze (32°F) | Dec 24 · Jan 26 · Feb 25 | Nov 26 · Dec 16 · Jan 17 | 326 days | 93% |
| Hard freeze (28°F) | Dec 14 · Jan 7 · Feb 9 | Dec 9 · Dec 28 · Feb 3 | 363 days | 55% |
Where these dates come from
ZIP code 85641 is matched to the NOAA station Saguaro Np, AZ, 19.9 km away, at 3,080 ft elevation (322 ft lower than the ZIP code's center). Nearby stations for comparison:
| Station | Elevation | Avg last frost | Avg first frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saguaro Np, AZ (used) | 3,080 ft | Jan 26 | Dec 16 |
| Tucson Intl Ap, AZ | 2,549 ft | Feb 5 | Dec 9 |
| Santa Rita Exp Range, AZ | 4,300 ft | Feb 25 | Dec 5 |
| Green Valley, AZ | 2,900 ft | Feb 25 | Nov 27 |
Frost dates near Vail
- Tucson, AZ 85747 · last Jan 26, first Dec 16
- Sahuarita, AZ 85629 · last Feb 25, first Nov 27
- Green Valley, AZ 85614 · last Feb 25, first Nov 27
- Sonoita, AZ 85637 · last Apr 18, first Nov 1
- Benson, AZ 85602 · last Apr 12, first Nov 1
- Pomerene, AZ 85627 · last Apr 12, first Nov 1
- Elgin, AZ 85611 · last Apr 18, first Nov 1
- Mount Lemmon, AZ 85619 · last Mar 23, first Nov 22
Frequently asked questions
- When is the last frost in Vail, AZ?
- For ZIP code 85641, the average last spring frost (32°F) is January 26, based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals for the Saguaro Np, AZ weather station. There is a 1-in-10 chance of a frost after February 25.
- When is the first frost in Vail, AZ?
- The average first fall frost (32°F) is December 16. There is a 1-in-10 chance of frost by November 26, so tender plants are at risk from that point on.
- How long is the growing season in 85641?
- In half of years, the frost-free season (between the last and first 32°F frost) is at least 326 days long.
- Are these frost dates a forecast?
- No. They are 30-year averages and probabilities from NOAA weather station records. Use them to plan, then watch your local forecast before planting tender crops or leaving them uncovered.