FrostDateByZip

Frost dates for 85266Scottsdale, AZ

The average last spring frost in Scottsdale is February 4 and the average first fall frost is December 16, giving a typical growing season of about 313 days. Dates are based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals.

Average last spring frost
Feb 4

Safer after Mar 9 (1-in-10 risk)

Average first fall frost
Dec 16

Possible by Nov 24 (1-in-10 risk)

Growing season
313 days

First frost typically in 44 days

Frost risk by date

NOAA reports frost dates as probabilities. The middle date is the average (a 50% chance). For spring, the 10% date is a safer planting date: frost after it happens in about 1 year in 10. Light frost (36°F) can damage tender plants; a hard freeze (28°F) kills most annuals.

Spring dates: chance of a frost AFTER the date. Fall dates: chance of a frost BEFORE the date.
TemperatureLast spring: 90% / 50% / 10% chanceFirst fall: 10% / 50% / 90% chanceGrowing season (50%)Years with at least one
Light frost (36°F)Jan 31 · Mar 5 · Apr 2Nov 13 · Dec 1 · Dec 18269 days100%
Frost / freeze (32°F)Jan 3 · Feb 4 · Mar 9Nov 24 · Dec 16 · Jan 15313 days98%
Hard freeze (28°F)Dec 19 · Jan 14 · Feb 22Dec 5 · Jan 1 · Feb 9357 days60%

Where these dates come from

ZIP code 85266 is matched to the NOAA station Carefree, AZ, 5.7 km away, at 2,530 ft elevation (289 ft higher than the ZIP code's center). Nearby stations for comparison:

StationElevationAvg last frostAvg first frost
Carefree, AZ (used)2,530 ftFeb 4Dec 16
Pinnacle Peak, AZ2,565 ftJan 27Dec 21
Scottsdale Muni Ap, AZ1,473 ftJan 6Dec 26
Phoenix Deer Valley Muni Ap, AZ1,455 ftJan 8Dec 25

Frost dates near Scottsdale

Frequently asked questions

When is the last frost in Scottsdale, AZ?
For ZIP code 85266, the average last spring frost (32°F) is February 4, based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals for the Carefree, AZ weather station. There is a 1-in-10 chance of a frost after March 9.
When is the first frost in Scottsdale, AZ?
The average first fall frost (32°F) is December 16. There is a 1-in-10 chance of frost by November 24, so tender plants are at risk from that point on.
How long is the growing season in 85266?
In half of years, the frost-free season (between the last and first 32°F frost) is at least 313 days long.
Are these frost dates a forecast?
No. They are 30-year averages and probabilities from NOAA weather station records. Use them to plan, then watch your local forecast before planting tender crops or leaving them uncovered.