Frost dates for 85266Scottsdale, AZ
The average last spring frost in Scottsdale is February 4 and the average first fall frost is December 16, giving a typical growing season of about 313 days. Dates are based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals.
- Average last spring frost
- Feb 4
- Average first fall frost
- Dec 16
- Growing season
- 313 days
Safer after Mar 9 (1-in-10 risk)
Possible by Nov 24 (1-in-10 risk)
First frost typically in 44 days
Frost risk by date
NOAA reports frost dates as probabilities. The middle date is the average (a 50% chance). For spring, the 10% date is a safer planting date: frost after it happens in about 1 year in 10. Light frost (36°F) can damage tender plants; a hard freeze (28°F) kills most annuals.
| Temperature | Last spring: 90% / 50% / 10% chance | First fall: 10% / 50% / 90% chance | Growing season (50%) | Years with at least one |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light frost (36°F) | Jan 31 · Mar 5 · Apr 2 | Nov 13 · Dec 1 · Dec 18 | 269 days | 100% |
| Frost / freeze (32°F) | Jan 3 · Feb 4 · Mar 9 | Nov 24 · Dec 16 · Jan 15 | 313 days | 98% |
| Hard freeze (28°F) | Dec 19 · Jan 14 · Feb 22 | Dec 5 · Jan 1 · Feb 9 | 357 days | 60% |
Where these dates come from
ZIP code 85266 is matched to the NOAA station Carefree, AZ, 5.7 km away, at 2,530 ft elevation (289 ft higher than the ZIP code's center). Nearby stations for comparison:
| Station | Elevation | Avg last frost | Avg first frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carefree, AZ (used) | 2,530 ft | Feb 4 | Dec 16 |
| Pinnacle Peak, AZ | 2,565 ft | Jan 27 | Dec 21 |
| Scottsdale Muni Ap, AZ | 1,473 ft | Jan 6 | Dec 26 |
| Phoenix Deer Valley Muni Ap, AZ | 1,455 ft | Jan 8 | Dec 25 |
Frost dates near Scottsdale
- Carefree, AZ 85377 · last Feb 4, first Dec 16
- Cave Creek, AZ 85327 · last Feb 4, first Dec 16
- Scottsdale, AZ 85255 · last Jan 27, first Dec 21
- Phoenix, AZ 85054 · last Jan 6, first Dec 26
- Rio Verde, AZ 85263 · last Jan 6, first Dec 28
- Glendale, AZ 85310 · last Jan 8, first Dec 25
- Paradise Valley, AZ 85253 · last Jan 6, first Dec 26
- Fountain Hills, AZ 85268 · last Jan 6, first Dec 28
Frequently asked questions
- When is the last frost in Scottsdale, AZ?
- For ZIP code 85266, the average last spring frost (32°F) is February 4, based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals for the Carefree, AZ weather station. There is a 1-in-10 chance of a frost after March 9.
- When is the first frost in Scottsdale, AZ?
- The average first fall frost (32°F) is December 16. There is a 1-in-10 chance of frost by November 24, so tender plants are at risk from that point on.
- How long is the growing season in 85266?
- In half of years, the frost-free season (between the last and first 32°F frost) is at least 313 days long.
- Are these frost dates a forecast?
- No. They are 30-year averages and probabilities from NOAA weather station records. Use them to plan, then watch your local forecast before planting tender crops or leaving them uncovered.