Frost dates for 85212Mesa, AZ
The average last spring frost in Mesa is February 1 and the average first fall frost is December 10, giving a typical growing season of about 312 days. Dates are based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals.
- Average last spring frost
- Feb 1
- Average first fall frost
- Dec 10
- Growing season
- 312 days
Safer after Feb 28 (1-in-10 risk)
Possible by Nov 22 (1-in-10 risk)
First frost typically in 44 days
Frost risk by date
NOAA reports frost dates as probabilities. The middle date is the average (a 50% chance). For spring, the 10% date is a safer planting date: frost after it happens in about 1 year in 10. Light frost (36°F) can damage tender plants; a hard freeze (28°F) kills most annuals.
| Temperature | Last spring: 90% / 50% / 10% chance | First fall: 10% / 50% / 90% chance | Growing season (50%) | Years with at least one |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light frost (36°F) | Jan 31 · Feb 27 · Mar 15 | Nov 13 · Nov 30 · Dec 15 | 276 days | 100% |
| Frost / freeze (32°F) | Jan 1 · Feb 1 · Feb 28 | Nov 22 · Dec 10 · Jan 1 | 312 days | 98% |
| Hard freeze (28°F) | Dec 13 · Jan 11 · Feb 11 | Dec 1 · Dec 26 · Jan 28 | 352 days | 70% |
Where these dates come from
ZIP code 85212 is matched to the NOAA station E Mesa, AZ, 8.6 km away, at 1,518 ft elevation (120 ft higher than the ZIP code's center). Nearby stations for comparison:
| Station | Elevation | Avg last frost | Avg first frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| E Mesa, AZ (used) | 1,518 ft | Feb 1 | Dec 10 |
| Chandler Heights, AZ | 1,425 ft | Feb 1 | Dec 11 |
| Apache Junction 5 Ne, AZ | 2,070 ft | Feb 11 | Dec 10 |
| Stewart Mtn Dam, AZ | 1,422 ft | Feb 13 | Dec 5 |
Frost dates near Mesa
- Mesa, AZ 85209 · last Feb 1, first Dec 10
- Higley, AZ 85236 · last Feb 1, first Dec 10
- Apache Junction, AZ 85120 · last Feb 1, first Dec 10
- Gilbert, AZ 85296 · last Feb 1, first Dec 10
- Queen Creek, AZ 85142 · last Feb 1, first Dec 11
- Chandler Heights, AZ 85127 · last Feb 1, first Dec 11
- Chandler, AZ 85249 · last Feb 13, first Dec 5
- San Tan Valley, AZ 85140 · last Feb 17, first Nov 29
Frequently asked questions
- When is the last frost in Mesa, AZ?
- For ZIP code 85212, the average last spring frost (32°F) is February 1, based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals for the E Mesa, AZ weather station. There is a 1-in-10 chance of a frost after February 28.
- When is the first frost in Mesa, AZ?
- The average first fall frost (32°F) is December 10. There is a 1-in-10 chance of frost by November 22, so tender plants are at risk from that point on.
- How long is the growing season in 85212?
- In half of years, the frost-free season (between the last and first 32°F frost) is at least 312 days long.
- Are these frost dates a forecast?
- No. They are 30-year averages and probabilities from NOAA weather station records. Use them to plan, then watch your local forecast before planting tender crops or leaving them uncovered.