FrostDateByZip

Frost dates for 78573Mission, TX

The average last spring frost in Mission is January 23 and the average first fall frost is December 28, giving a typical growing season of about 340 days. Dates are based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals.

Average last spring frost
Jan 23

Safer after Feb 27 (1-in-10 risk)

Average first fall frost
Dec 28

Possible by Dec 2 (1-in-10 risk)

Growing season
340 days

First frost typically in 63 days

Frost risk by date

NOAA reports frost dates as probabilities. The middle date is the average (a 50% chance). For spring, the 10% date is a safer planting date: frost after it happens in about 1 year in 10. Light frost (36°F) can damage tender plants; a hard freeze (28°F) kills most annuals.

Spring dates: chance of a frost AFTER the date. Fall dates: chance of a frost BEFORE the date.
TemperatureLast spring: 90% / 50% / 10% chanceFirst fall: 10% / 50% / 90% chanceGrowing season (50%)Years with at least one
Light frost (36°F)Jan 9 · Feb 11 · Mar 11Nov 18 · Dec 7 · Jan 7303 days99%
Frost / freeze (32°F)Dec 22 · Jan 23 · Feb 27Dec 2 · Dec 28 · Feb 1340 days79%
Hard freeze (28°F)Dec 17 · Jan 7 · Feb 6Dec 13 · Jan 1 · Feb 1365 days39%

Where these dates come from

ZIP code 78573 is matched to the NOAA station La Joya, TX, 4 km away, at 213 ft elevation (55 ft higher than the ZIP code's center). Nearby stations for comparison:

StationElevationAvg last frostAvg first frost
La Joya, TX (used)213 ftJan 23Dec 28
Mcallen, TX100 ftJan 9Jan 1
Mcallen Miller Intl Ap, TX100 ftJan 9Jan 3
Edinburg, TX96 ftJan 8Jan 2

Frost dates near Mission

Frequently asked questions

When is the last frost in Mission, TX?
For ZIP code 78573, the average last spring frost (32°F) is January 23, based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals for the La Joya, TX weather station. There is a 1-in-10 chance of a frost after February 27.
When is the first frost in Mission, TX?
The average first fall frost (32°F) is December 28. There is a 1-in-10 chance of frost by December 2, so tender plants are at risk from that point on.
How long is the growing season in 78573?
In half of years, the frost-free season (between the last and first 32°F frost) is at least 340 days long.
Are these frost dates a forecast?
No. They are 30-year averages and probabilities from NOAA weather station records. Use them to plan, then watch your local forecast before planting tender crops or leaving them uncovered.