Frost dates for 34268Nocatee, FL
The average last spring frost in Nocatee is February 7 and the average first fall frost is January 4, giving a typical growing season of about 324 days. Dates are based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals.
- Average last spring frost
- Feb 7
- Average first fall frost
- Jan 4
- Growing season
- 324 days
Safer after Mar 10 (1-in-10 risk)
Possible by Dec 8 (1-in-10 risk)
First frost typically in 62 days
Frost risk by date
NOAA reports frost dates as probabilities. The middle date is the average (a 50% chance). For spring, the 10% date is a safer planting date: frost after it happens in about 1 year in 10. Light frost (36°F) can damage tender plants; a hard freeze (28°F) kills most annuals.
| Temperature | Last spring: 90% / 50% / 10% chance | First fall: 10% / 50% / 90% chance | Growing season (50%) | Years with at least one |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light frost (36°F) | Jan 31 · Mar 1 · Mar 24 | Nov 21 · Dec 17 · Jan 16 | 292 days | 100% |
| Frost / freeze (32°F) | Jan 8 · Feb 7 · Mar 10 | Dec 8 · Jan 4 · Feb 6 | 324 days | 91% |
| Hard freeze (28°F) | Dec 31 · Jan 28 · Feb 26 | Dec 25 · Jan 11 · Feb 16 | 361 days | 57% |
Where these dates come from
ZIP code 34268 is matched to the NOAA station Arcadia, FL, 6.4 km away, at 25 ft elevation (11 ft lower than the ZIP code's center). Nearby stations for comparison:
| Station | Elevation | Avg last frost | Avg first frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arcadia, FL (used) | 25 ft | Feb 7 | Jan 4 |
| Punta Gorda Charlotte Co Ap, FL | 25 ft | Jan 22 | Jan 10 |
| Punta Gorda 4 Ese, FL | 20 ft | Jan 21 | Jan 14 |
| Myakka Rvr Sp, FL | 19 ft | Feb 1 | Jan 6 |
Frost dates near Nocatee
- Arcadia, FL 34266 · last Feb 7, first Jan 4
- Fort Ogden, FL 34267 · last Feb 7, first Jan 4
- Punta Gorda, FL 33983 · last Jan 21, first Jan 14
- Port Charlotte, FL 33954 · last Jan 21, first Jan 14
- North Port, FL 34288 · last Jan 21, first Jan 14
- Ona, FL 33865 · last Feb 4, first Jan 8
- Murdock, FL 33938 · last Jan 21, first Jan 14
- Myakka City, FL 34251 · last Feb 1, first Jan 6
Frequently asked questions
- When is the last frost in Nocatee, FL?
- For ZIP code 34268, the average last spring frost (32°F) is February 7, based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals for the Arcadia, FL weather station. There is a 1-in-10 chance of a frost after March 10.
- When is the first frost in Nocatee, FL?
- The average first fall frost (32°F) is January 4. There is a 1-in-10 chance of frost by December 8, so tender plants are at risk from that point on.
- How long is the growing season in 34268?
- In half of years, the frost-free season (between the last and first 32°F frost) is at least 324 days long.
- Are these frost dates a forecast?
- No. They are 30-year averages and probabilities from NOAA weather station records. Use them to plan, then watch your local forecast before planting tender crops or leaving them uncovered.