When is the last frost in Manasota, FL?

Frost occurs in about 31% of years at the nearest NOAA station (Bradenton 5 Ese, FL), so there is no reliable average last frost date.

When is the first frost in Manasota, FL?

Frost occurs in about 31% of years at the nearest NOAA station.

Are these frost dates a forecast?

No. They are 30-year averages and probabilities from NOAA weather station records. Use them to plan, then watch your local forecast before planting tender crops or leaving them uncovered.

Frost dates for 34260Manasota, FL

Frost occurs in about 31% of years near Manasota, based on NOAA 1991-2020 records for the Bradenton 5 Ese, FL station.

Frost occurs in about 31% of years. Frost-tender plants can usually grow year-round, but cover them if a rare cold snap is forecast.

Frost risk by date

NOAA reports frost dates as probabilities. The middle date is the average (a 50% chance). For spring, the 10% date is a safer planting date: frost after it happens in about 1 year in 10. Light frost (36°F) can damage tender plants; a hard freeze (28°F) kills most annuals.

Spring dates: chance of a frost AFTER the date. Fall dates: chance of a frost BEFORE the date.
Temperature	Last spring: 90% / 50% / 10% chance	First fall: 10% / 50% / 90% chance	Growing season (50%)	Years with at least one
Light frost (36°F)	Dec 31 · Jan 27 · Feb 23	Dec 11 · Jan 8 · Feb 5	341 days	72%
Frost / freeze (32°F)	Dec 26 · Jan 16 · Feb 9	Dec 20 · Jan 11 · Feb 5	365 days	31%
Hard freeze (28°F)	—	—	365 days	7%

Where these dates come from

ZIP code 34260 is matched to the NOAA station Bradenton 5 Ese, FL, 6.6 km away, at 20 ft elevation (13 ft lower than the ZIP code's center). Nearby stations for comparison:

Station	Elevation	Avg last frost	Avg first frost
Bradenton 5 Ese, FL (used)	20 ft	Jan 16	Jan 11
Sarasota Bradenton Ap, FL	28 ft	Jan 15	Jan 10
Parrish, FL	60 ft	Jan 28	Jan 9
Myakka Rvr Sp, FL	19 ft	Feb 1	Jan 6

Frost dates near Manasota

Bradenton, FL 34204 · last Jan 16, first Jan 11
Sarasota, FL 34235 · last Jan 15, first Jan 10
Tallevast, FL 34270 · last Jan 15, first Jan 10
Oneco, FL 34264 · last Jan 16, first Jan 11
Ellenton, FL 34222 · last Jan 16, first Jan 11
Parrish, FL 34219 · last Jan 28, first Jan 9
Palmetto, FL 34220 · last Jan 16, first Jan 11
Terra Ceia, FL 34250 · last Jan 16, first Jan 11

Frequently asked questions

When is the last frost in Manasota, FL?: Frost occurs in about 31% of years at the nearest NOAA station (Bradenton 5 Ese, FL), so there is no reliable average last frost date.
When is the first frost in Manasota, FL?: Frost occurs in about 31% of years at the nearest NOAA station.
Are these frost dates a forecast?: No. They are 30-year averages and probabilities from NOAA weather station records. Use them to plan, then watch your local forecast before planting tender crops or leaving them uncovered.