Frost dates for 33586Sun City, FL
The average last spring frost in Sun City is January 20 and the average first fall frost is January 9, giving a typical growing season of about 357 days. Dates are based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals.
- Average last spring frost
- Jan 20
- Average first fall frost
- Jan 9
- Growing season
- 357 days
Safer after Feb 16 (1-in-10 risk)
Possible by Dec 19 (1-in-10 risk)
First frost typically in 67 days
Frost risk by date
NOAA reports frost dates as probabilities. The middle date is the average (a 50% chance). For spring, the 10% date is a safer planting date: frost after it happens in about 1 year in 10. Light frost (36°F) can damage tender plants; a hard freeze (28°F) kills most annuals.
| Temperature | Last spring: 90% / 50% / 10% chance | First fall: 10% / 50% / 90% chance | Growing season (50%) | Years with at least one |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light frost (36°F) | Jan 6 · Feb 3 · Mar 6 | Dec 4 · Jan 1 · Feb 1 | 327 days | 91% |
| Frost / freeze (32°F) | Dec 31 · Jan 20 · Feb 16 | Dec 19 · Jan 9 · Feb 7 | 357 days | 54% |
| Hard freeze (28°F) | Dec 31 · Jan 17 · Feb 7 | Dec 29 · Jan 14 · Feb 5 | 365 days | 17% |
Where these dates come from
ZIP code 33586 is matched to the NOAA station Tampa Bay Area Wfo, FL, 8.2 km away, at 40 ft elevation (14 ft higher than the ZIP code's center). Nearby stations for comparison:
| Station | Elevation | Avg last frost | Avg first frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Area Wfo, FL (used) | 40 ft | Jan 20 | Jan 9 |
| Parrish, FL | 60 ft | Jan 28 | Jan 9 |
| St Petersburg, FL | 8 ft | Jan 17 | Jan 15 |
| St Petersburg Ap, FL | 8 ft | — | — |
Frost dates near Sun City
- Ruskin, FL 33570 · last Jan 20, first Jan 9
- Sun City Center, FL 33571 · last Jan 20, first Jan 9
- Apollo Beach, FL 33572 · last Jan 20, first Jan 9
- Terra Ceia, FL 34250 · last Jan 16, first Jan 11
- Ellenton, FL 34222 · last Jan 16, first Jan 11
- Parrish, FL 34219 · last Jan 28, first Jan 9
- Wimauma, FL 33598 · last Jan 20, first Jan 9
- Palmetto, FL 34221 · last Jan 16, first Jan 11
Frequently asked questions
- When is the last frost in Sun City, FL?
- For ZIP code 33586, the average last spring frost (32°F) is January 20, based on NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals for the Tampa Bay Area Wfo, FL weather station. There is a 1-in-10 chance of a frost after February 16.
- When is the first frost in Sun City, FL?
- The average first fall frost (32°F) is January 9. There is a 1-in-10 chance of frost by December 19, so tender plants are at risk from that point on.
- How long is the growing season in 33586?
- In half of years, the frost-free season (between the last and first 32°F frost) is at least 357 days long.
- Are these frost dates a forecast?
- No. They are 30-year averages and probabilities from NOAA weather station records. Use them to plan, then watch your local forecast before planting tender crops or leaving them uncovered.